THE CRUMBLING CONTINUES, DAY BY DAY – OVERNIGHT:  The Biden administration is in freefall.  It isn't just one poll or two.   Similar numbers are showing up everywhere.  The public shift is serious, fueled by anger, and possibly permanent.  From Daily Caller: 

“As things stand, if the midterm elections were today, 51 percent of registered voters say they’d support the Republican candidate in their congressional district, 41 percent the Democrat,” reads a press release from Langer Research, which conducted the poll for ABC News/Washington Post.

“That’s the biggest lead for the Republicans in 110 ABC/Post polls to ask this question since November 1981. Indeed, it’s only the second time the GOP has held a statistically significant advantage (the other was +7 points in January 2002) and the ninth time it’s held any numerical edge at all.”

Independents, who are often considered the swing vote in elections, would support the GOP candidate by a 50-32 percent margin. This is notable considering they voted +12 points for the Democratic Party in the 2018 elections, which were the most recent midterm election.

New WaPo poll: Biden approval sinks to 38% (new low), GOP leads in generic ballot by TEN points (51 to 41) among registered voters. https://t.co/teNHqtoTsR

The same poll also shows widespread economic anxiety among Americans. With inflation running at a 30-year high, 70% of Americans say the U.S. economy is in bad shape. That is up from 58% earlier this spring.

Biden’s approval rating has also fallen in the poll to 41%, which matches the generic congressional ballot voter preferences for Democrats. This is down from his approval rating in a recent CNN poll which showed his overall approval rating at 48%.

Biden’s rating is at an all time low for his career among nearly all demographic groups. Independent voters give Biden just 35% approval. However, 63% support the recently passed infrastructure bill and 58% favor the Build Back Better bill.

And there's this, from hotair.com:  

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll has some bad news for Joe Biden. In a hypothetical matchup between Trump and Biden in 2024, Trump is favored by eleven points. The real question should be whether or not either of the two men is going to run in 2024.

Both Joe Biden and Donald Trump have indicated they will run in 2024. Biden even told reporters in March during his first news conference that he plans to run for reelection but that was just two months into his term and what was he going to say at that point? Biden said, “The answer is yes, my plan is to run for reelection. That’s my expectation.” Since then his approval with voters has plummeted. There is a lot of buyer’s remorse out there.

Trump remains popular with Republican voters. Trump won Iowa in 2020 by eight percentage points over Biden – 53% to 45%. Trump has not left the stage since Biden was sworn in as president and he sure sounds as though he is seriously considering another run. Biden’s approval with Iowa voters is at its lowest ebb since taking office.

COMMENT:  We stress once again that these polls are snapshots in time.  Biden's numbers can change if he starts getting things right, although he has not yet achieved that art.  And both economic and foreign conditions can change for the better.  Luck is also involved.

Republicans are on a good path to an impressive victory in the 2022 midterms.  Those elections, though, are a year off.  Take the current numbers simply as a guide to trends.  We have the right to smile.

November 14,  2021